Blog.

The rules behind our simulators, worked out with real numbers.

Draft · the numbers

NBA 3-2-1 Draft Lottery Odds: Every Pick, Every Team (2027)

The NBA publishes the odds for the No. 1 pick. We ran the new lottery 2 million times to get the rest: every slot, every team, and how it compares with the old system.

Front office · the rulebook

NBA Salary Cap 2026-27: Tax Line, First and Second Apron Explained

The five numbers that run every NBA front office in 2026-27, what each one stops you from doing, and how salary matching in trades actually works.